Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (9.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
