SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
20.2% ( 0) | 25.8% ( -0) | 54% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.03% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.89% ( 0.02) | 58.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.23% ( 0.01) | 78.77% ( -0.02) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.17% ( 0.01) | 43.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.01% ( 0.01) | 79.98% ( -0.02) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( 0) | 21.61% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( 0.01) | 54.72% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.94% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.22% 3-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 20.2% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 14.51% 0-2 @ 11.11% 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.68% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.68% ( 0)0-4 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 54% |
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