Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 41.48%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
