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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Dalymount Park
DC

Bohemians
1 - 2
Derry

Grant (15')
Carroll (57'), McDonnell (76'), Connolly (86'), Piszczek (90+2'), Flores (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diallo (17'), Mullen (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Waterford 2-1 Bohemians
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-0 Galway United
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Bohemians 1-1 Derry City

Despite being well in the race for the Irish title, Derry have been unconvincing on their travels in 2024, winning just two of their 10 matches away from Brandywell Stadium. That being said, Bohemians' form in front of their Dalymount Park crowd is hardly inspiring either, so we are predicting a close affair and a share of the spoils on Thursday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Bohemians win it was 1-0 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
BohemiansDrawDerry City
26.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 27.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 45.37% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.54% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)80.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bohemians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (0.01400000000001 0.01)26.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bohemians 26.66%
    Derry City 45.36%
    Draw 27.96%
BohemiansDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 26.66%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 13.72%
0-2 @ 9.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 4% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.36%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Waterford 2-1 Bohemians
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 2-2 St Patrick's
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 0-3 Bohemians
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 1-0 Bohemians
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 0-1 Galway United
Monday, May 6 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 1-1 Shamrock
Friday, May 3 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-0 Galway United
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Waterford
Monday, June 3 at 6pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Sligo
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Derry
Monday, May 20 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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