SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Bohemians win it was 1-0 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
26.66% ( -0.01) | 27.97% ( -0) | 45.37% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.77% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.46% ( 0.01) | 60.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.35% ( 0.01) | 80.64% ( -0.01) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.06% ( -0.01) | 38.94% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.33% ( -0.01) | 75.67% ( 0.01) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( 0.01) | 26.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.09% ( 0.02) | 61.91% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.1% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.62% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.27% Other @ 1.51% Total : 26.66% | 1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 10.38% 2-2 @ 4.03% Other @ 0.61% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 13.72% 0-2 @ 9.07% ( 0)1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 4% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.36% |
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