SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.41%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
56.48% ( 0.02) | 24.13% | 19.38% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.97% ( -0.03) | 53.03% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.38% ( -0.02) | 74.62% ( 0.02) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.37% ( -0) | 18.63% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.06% ( -0.01) | 49.94% ( 0.01) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.21% ( -0.04) | 41.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.75% ( -0.03) | 78.25% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.38% |
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