SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Waterford United had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Waterford United win it was 0-1 (6.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Waterford United |
59.51% ( -0.11) | 23.82% ( 0.13) | 16.67% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.62% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% ( -0.47) | 55.5% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( -0.38) | 76.68% ( 0.39) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.57% ( -0.21) | 18.43% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.41% ( -0.37) | 49.59% ( 0.37) |
| Waterford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.47% ( -0.29) | 46.53% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.87% ( -0.22) | 82.13% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Waterford United |
| 1-0 @ 14.5% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.38% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.99% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.81% | 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.67% |
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