Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 24.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
