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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 33
Oct 14, 2022 at 8pm UK
Finn Park
D

Finn Harps
1 - 2
Dundalk

Jones (86')
Siaj (12'), Rainey (32'), Duncan (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Macarai (18'), Slevin (43' og.)
Martin (89')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Finn Harps and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derry 3-0 Finn Harps
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 St Patrick's
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.81%) and 1-2 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
Finn HarpsDrawDundalk
23.73% (0.020000000000003 0.02) 26.21% (0.012 0.01) 50.06% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.64% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)56.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.62% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)77.38% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Finn Harps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.76%39.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)75.95%
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)22.58% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)56.18% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Finn Harps 23.73%
    Dundalk 50.05%
    Draw 26.21%
Finn HarpsDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 8.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.77% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-0 @ 3.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.8%
3-2 @ 1.34%
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 23.73%
1-1 @ 12.33%
0-0 @ 8.86% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 26.21%
0-1 @ 13.18% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 9.81% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 4.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.81% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.05%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Derry 3-0 Finn Harps
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 1-1 Shelbourne
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 0-2 Bohemians
Saturday, September 24 at 4pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 5-1 Finn Harps
Sunday, September 11 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Finn Harps
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Finn Harps 3-2 Sligo
Friday, August 19 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 St Patrick's
Friday, October 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-0 Drogheda
Friday, September 30 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 3-2 Dundalk
Friday, September 9 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, September 2 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 2-0 Dundalk
Monday, August 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 3-0 Dundalk
Sunday, August 21 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier


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