SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 68.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 11.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (4.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Drogheda United |
68.94% ( 0.71) | 19.19% ( -0.43) | 11.87% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.48% ( 1.15) | 46.52% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( 1.07) | 68.79% ( -1.07) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.61% ( 0.54) | 12.39% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.74% ( 1.13) | 38.26% ( -1.13) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.79% ( 0.24) | 48.21% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.61% ( 0.17) | 83.38% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 2-0 @ 13.02% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 12.47% ( -0.34)2-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.07% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.98% Total : 68.93% | 1-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.65% Total : 19.19% | 0-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.87% |
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