SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 18.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
58.1% ( -0.02) | 23.83% ( 0.01) | 18.06% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.05% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.37% ( -0.02) | 53.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.88% ( -0.02) | 75.12% ( 0.02) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.75% ( -0.02) | 18.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.71% ( -0.02) | 49.29% ( 0.02) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.33% ( -0.01) | 43.67% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.15% ( -0) | 79.85% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.53% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.54% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 58.1% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.83% | 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 18.06% |
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