SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Bohemians win it was 0-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians |
57.78% ( 0.97) | 22.34% ( -0.22) | 19.88% ( -0.75) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( -0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.06) | 45.04% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( -0.06) | 67.39% ( 0.06) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.69% ( 0.3) | 15.31% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.95% ( 0.56) | 44.05% ( -0.57) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0.81) | 36.63% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.58% ( -0.82) | 73.42% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.13)4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.52% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.34% | 0-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.72% Total : 19.88% |
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