SM
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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 45.05%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 26.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
45.05% ( 0.22) | 28.06% ( -0.03) | 26.88% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.67% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.25% ( -0.01) | 60.74% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% ( -0.01) | 80.8% ( 0.01) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.07% ( 0.11) | 26.92% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.75% ( 0.14) | 62.25% ( -0.14) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.13% ( -0.17) | 38.87% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.4% ( -0.16) | 75.6% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 13.73% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.76% 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.86% Total : 45.05% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.88% |
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