Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 33.01% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
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