SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 44.99%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Bohemians |
28.24% ( 0.14) | 26.77% ( 0.09) | 44.99% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.48% ( -0.24) | 55.52% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.3% ( -0.2) | 76.7% ( 0.2) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( -0.02) | 34.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( -0.02) | 71.64% ( 0.03) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.42% ( -0.21) | 24.58% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.93% ( -0.3) | 59.07% ( 0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.24% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 44.98% |
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