SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shelbourne |
28.39% ( -0.25) | 26.88% ( -0.04) | 44.73% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.16% ( 0.03) | 55.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.04% ( 0.02) | 76.96% ( -0.02) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.04% ( -0.18) | 34.95% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.3% ( -0.19) | 71.69% ( 0.19) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( 0.16) | 24.85% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.55% ( 0.22) | 59.44% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.13% Total : 28.39% | 1-1 @ 12.71% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.73% |
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