SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bohemians | Draw | Drogheda United |
57.78% ( -0.02) | 23.78% ( 0.02) | 18.43% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 46.83% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.07% ( -0.05) | 52.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.47% ( -0.05) | 74.52% ( 0.05) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.89% ( -0.03) | 18.11% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.95% ( -0.05) | 49.05% ( 0.05) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.19% ( -0.02) | 42.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.87% ( -0.02) | 79.13% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bohemians | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 11.31% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.77% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 0-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.77% 0-2 @ 2.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 18.43% |
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