Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Cork City had a probability of 26.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Cork City win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
Result | ||
Dundalk | Draw | Cork City |
49.47% ( -1.06) | 24.49% ( 0.05) | 26.05% ( 1) |
Both teams to score 54.43% ( 0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.25% ( 0.58) | 47.75% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.06% ( 0.53) | 69.94% ( -0.53) |
Dundalk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.66% ( -0.2) | 19.34% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.88% ( -0.33) | 51.12% ( 0.33) |
Cork City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 1.14) | 32.51% ( -1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 1.26) | 69.04% ( -1.26) |
Score Analysis |
Dundalk | Draw | Cork City |
1-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.32) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.05% Total : 49.47% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.05% |
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