SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 32.18% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (11.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Dundalk |
38.84% ( -0) | 28.98% ( 0.02) | 32.18% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 44.56% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.96% ( -0.06) | 62.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% ( -0.05) | 81.76% ( 0.04) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( -0.03) | 31.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( -0.04) | 67.32% ( 0.03) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.58% ( -0.05) | 35.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.82% ( -0.05) | 72.18% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.53% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0)Other @ 3.07% Total : 38.84% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0)Other @ 2.08% Total : 32.18% |
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