SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 52.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
52.31% ( -0.04) | 25.11% ( 0.02) | 22.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.9% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( -0.06) | 53.27% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( -0.05) | 74.82% ( 0.05) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.64% ( -0.04) | 20.36% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.23% ( -0.06) | 52.77% ( 0.06) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.4% ( -0.02) | 38.6% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.65% ( -0.02) | 75.34% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 52.3% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 1.51% Total : 22.58% |
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