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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 13
May 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
UCD Bowl
D

UCD
0 - 2
Dundalk


Gallagher (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Martin (35'), O'Kane (90+4')
Davies (80'), Hoban (89')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: UCD 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-2 Drogheda
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
University College DublinDrawDundalk
20.33% (0.617 0.62) 25.93% (0.093 0.09) 53.74% (-0.71100000000001 -0.71)
Both teams to score 43.87% (0.589 0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.59% (0.314 0.31)58.41% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99% (0.246 0.25)79.01% (-0.24499999999999 -0.24)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.14% (0.873 0.87)43.86% (-0.873 -0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (0.71 0.71)80.01% (-0.711 -0.71)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.15% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)21.85% (0.169 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.92% (-0.256 -0.26)55.08% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    University College Dublin 20.33%
    Dundalk 53.73%
    Draw 25.93%
University College DublinDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.096 0.1)
2-1 @ 4.95% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 3.26% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 1.36% (0.074 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.03% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 20.33%
1-1 @ 12.01% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 9.58% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.77% (0.098 0.1)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 14.57% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 11.08% (-0.25 -0.25)
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.62% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 4.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.04 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.76% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 53.73%

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Form Guide
Last Game: UCD 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 3-1 UCD
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-0 Cork City
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shamrock 3-0 UCD
Monday, April 10 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-0 Shelbourne
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-0 UCD
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-2 Drogheda
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-1 Dundalk
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 2-2 Derry
Sunday, April 16 at 3pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Cork City 1-0 Dundalk
Monday, April 10 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-2 Sligo
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-4 Shamrock
Friday, March 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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