SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
63.43% ( 0.34) | 21.08% ( -0.13) | 15.5% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.12% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.24% ( 0.17) | 46.76% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.98% ( 0.16) | 69.02% ( -0.16) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( 0.16) | 14.08% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.31% ( 0.32) | 41.69% ( -0.31) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.17% ( -0.18) | 42.83% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.85% ( -0.15) | 79.15% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 3.71% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.72% 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 63.41% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 21.07% | 0-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.58% Total : 15.5% |
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