SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shelbourne |
30% ( 0.14) | 27.57% ( 0.06) | 42.43% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 47.72% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.27% ( -0.16) | 57.73% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.52% ( -0.13) | 78.48% ( 0.13) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( 0.02) | 34.72% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.54% ( 0.02) | 71.45% ( -0.02) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.11% ( -0.18) | 26.89% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.79% ( -0.23) | 62.21% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 30% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.34% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.57% | 0-1 @ 12.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.05% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.98% Total : 42.42% |
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