SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 55.2%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
55.2% ( -0.49) | 24.09% ( 0.01) | 20.71% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( 0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.72% ( 0.51) | 51.28% ( -0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.89% ( 0.45) | 73.11% ( -0.45) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( 0.01) | 18.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.35% ( 0.01) | 49.64% ( -0.01) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.65% ( 0.8) | 39.35% ( -0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.95% ( 0.73) | 76.05% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.21)2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.22% Total : 55.19% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.15)2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.09% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.39% Total : 20.71% |
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