Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 52.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.83%) and 1-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
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