SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 47.52%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (8.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 1-0 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
23.5% ( -1.18) | 28.98% ( 0.29) | 47.52% ( 0.89) |
| Both teams to score 39.88% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.55% ( -1.56) | 65.45% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.8% ( -1.1) | 84.2% ( 1.1) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.31% ( -2.05) | 44.69% ( 2.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.31% ( -1.7) | 80.69% ( 1.7) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( -0.3) | 27.9% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( -0.38) | 63.52% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.34)2-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.5% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 12.46% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.4% Total : 28.97% | 0-1 @ 15.91% ( 0.76) 0-2 @ 10.16% ( 0.41)1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.56% Total : 47.51% |
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