SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 29 | -16 | 31 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 28 | -24 | 18 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 28 | -37 | 16 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Derry City | 28 | 22 | 52 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 29 | 15 | 50 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 28 | 16 | 48 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 62.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.69%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
15.02% ( 0.23) | 22.49% ( 0.01) | 62.49% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 43.89% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( 0.38) | 53.22% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( 0.32) | 74.79% ( -0.32) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.6% ( 0.56) | 47.4% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.21% ( 0.41) | 82.79% ( -0.41) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.45% ( 0.05) | 16.55% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.68% ( 0.09) | 46.32% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 15.02% | 1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.57% Total : 22.49% | 0-1 @ 14.11% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 12.69% ( -0.14)1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 7.61% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)0-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.72% Total : 62.48% |
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