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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 65.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.96%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | University College Dublin |
65.19% ( 1.05) | 21.19% ( -0.81) | 13.62% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 44.27% ( 1.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( 2.65) | 50.81% ( -2.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( 2.29) | 72.7% ( -2.29) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( 1.23) | 14.85% ( -1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.84% ( 2.3) | 43.16% ( -2.29) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.99% ( 1.25) | 48.01% ( -1.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.76% ( 0.9) | 83.24% ( -0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 1-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.88) 2-0 @ 12.96% ( -0.27)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.05% ( 0.34)4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.25)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.2)5-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.15)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.12% Total : 65.18% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.79)2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.59% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.38) 1-2 @ 3.66% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.82% Total : 13.62% |
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