SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 23 | -13 | 25 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 23 | -23 | 12 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 23 | -32 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 23 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 22 | -7 | 28 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 23 | -13 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 58.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.36%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Shelbourne |
17.09% ( 0.49) | 24.89% ( 0.98) | 58.02% ( -1.48) |
| Both teams to score 41.62% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.37% ( -2.72) | 58.62% ( 2.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.82% ( -2.16) | 79.17% ( 2.15) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.15% ( -0.98) | 47.84% ( 0.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.88% ( -0.73) | 83.11% ( 0.73) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( -1.61) | 20.19% ( 1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.5% ( -2.64) | 52.49% ( 2.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.11% Total : 17.09% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( 0.95)2-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.47% Total : 24.88% | 0-1 @ 15.45% ( 0.8) 0-2 @ 12.36% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 6.59% ( -0.33)1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.38)0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0.27)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.2)Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.01% |
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