Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 59.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
