Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 37.1%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.42%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 1-0 (12.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.
