Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
