SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 27 | -8 | 33 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 29 | -16 | 31 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 28 | -24 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Dundalk | 29 | 15 | 50 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 28 | 16 | 48 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 28 | 8 | 41 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.45%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
24.21% ( -0.07) | 25.48% ( 0.02) | 50.31% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.77% ( -0.12) | 53.23% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.21% ( -0.11) | 74.79% ( 0.1) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.95% ( -0.13) | 37.05% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.16% ( -0.13) | 73.84% ( 0.13) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% ( -0.03) | 21.18% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.95% ( -0.04) | 54.05% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 6% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.74% Total : 24.21% | 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.03)1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.89% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 50.31% |
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