SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 19 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 20.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.02%) and 1-2 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
| 20.29% | 25.55% | 54.16% |
| Both teams to score 44.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.84% | 57.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.98% | 78.02% |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.82% | 43.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.56% | 79.44% |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% | 21.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.98% | 54.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 7.67% 2-1 @ 5% 2-0 @ 3.22% 3-1 @ 1.4% 3-2 @ 1.09% 3-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 1% Total : 20.29% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 9.14% 2-2 @ 3.89% Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 14.19% 0-2 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 9.25% 0-3 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-4 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.86% Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.16% |
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