SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundalk | 18 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.54%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 7-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 67.59% | 19.78% | 12.64% |
| Both teams to score 45.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.8% | 47.2% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.57% | 69.43% |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.02% | 12.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.52% | 39.48% |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.65% | 47.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.25% | 82.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 12.81% 1-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 8.72% 3-1 @ 6.52% 4-0 @ 4.45% 4-1 @ 3.33% 3-2 @ 2.44% 5-0 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.36% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.77% Total : 67.58% | 1-1 @ 9.38% 0-0 @ 6.15% 2-2 @ 3.58% Other @ 0.67% Total : 19.78% | 0-1 @ 4.6% 1-2 @ 3.51% 0-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.82% Total : 12.64% |
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