Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
