Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
-2.54) 
0.58) 
