Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.03) 
