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League One | Gameweek 11
Sep 25, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Home Park
IL

Plymouth
2 - 1
Ipswich

Mumba (69'), Whittaker (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ladapo (39')
Harness (20'), Morsy (22'), Edmundson (66'), Evans (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Plymouth Argyle 1-1 Ipswich Town

Although Plymouth's winning streak came to an end last time out, holding Portsmouth at Fratton Park would have felt like a point gained. The same can be said for Ipswich at Sheffield Wednesday, despite their capitulation, and we are backing another draw to be played out here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 44.44%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawIpswich Town
27.66% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 27.9% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 44.44% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 45.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.18% (0.015999999999998 0.02)59.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.9% (0.012 0.01)80.09% (-0.012 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (-0.012 -0.01)37.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)74.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (0.025000000000006 0.03)26.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)62.1% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 27.66%
    Ipswich Town 44.44%
    Draw 27.88%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawIpswich Town
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 27.66%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.88%
0-1 @ 13.3%
0-2 @ 8.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.54% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 44.44%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Swindon 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-3 Plymouth
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Northampton
Tuesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Barnsley
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One


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