Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 52.17%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 24.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
0.27) 
-0.04) 
