Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
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