SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.24%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
42.99% ( -0.2) | 25.43% ( -0.14) | 31.58% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( 0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( 0.73) | 48.63% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( 0.66) | 70.75% ( -0.66) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.45% ( 0.22) | 22.55% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.87% ( 0.32) | 56.13% ( -0.32) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( 0.59) | 28.93% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( 0.73) | 64.81% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.24% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 12.05% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.58% |
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