Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
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