Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
