Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 77.36%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 7.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (11.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.11%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.