Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.49%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 26.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
