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League One | Gameweek 22
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
LC

Cheltenham
0 - 0
Lincoln


Long (17'), Rea (69')
FT

Diamond (22')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-0 Lincoln City

Despite both teams bagging four goals in the EFL Trophy in midweek, we expect a much cagier affair in League One on Saturday. Both of these sides have been more impressive defensively than they have offensively this season, and we would not be surprised to see a goalless draw play out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
35.39% (0.052 0.05) 27.27% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 37.34% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.02% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52% (0.039000000000001 0.04)55.48% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.34% (0.031000000000002 0.03)76.66% (-0.035999999999987 -0.04)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.13% (0.050000000000011 0.05)29.87% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.04% (0.063000000000002 0.06)65.96% (-0.067000000000007 -0.07)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.32% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.5% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)64.49% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 35.38%
    Lincoln City 37.33%
    Draw 27.26%
Cheltenham TownDrawLincoln City
1-0 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.25% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.15% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.38%
1-1 @ 12.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.57% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.26%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.07% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.78% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 37.33%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Cheltenham (3-2 pen.)
Tuesday, February 21 at 8pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One


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