SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
35.39% ( 0.05) | 27.27% ( -0.01) | 37.34% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.52% ( 0.04) | 55.48% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% ( 0.03) | 76.66% ( -0.04) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( 0.05) | 29.87% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.04% ( 0.06) | 65.96% ( -0.07) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( -0.01) | 28.68% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.5% ( -0.01) | 64.49% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( 0)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.26% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 37.33% |
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