Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 56.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
