Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
42.28% ( 1.91)	25.73% ( 0.36)	31.99% ( -2.26)

Both teams to score 54.21% (

-1.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.21% (

-2.13)

49.79% (

2.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.21% (

-1.93)

71.79% (

1.94)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.61% (

0.02)

23.39% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.63% (

0.02)

57.37% (

-0.01)

Wycombe Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.76% (

-2.46)

29.24% (

2.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.81% (

-3.14)

65.19% (

3.14)

Score Analysis

Derby County 42.28%

Wycombe Wanderers 31.99%

Draw 25.72%

Derby County	Draw	Wycombe Wanderers
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.28%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.99%