SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
66.5% ( 0) | 19.22% ( 0.01) | 14.28% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 52.29% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( -0.06) | 40.99% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.06) | 63.38% ( 0.06) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.55% ( -0.02) | 11.45% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.73% ( -0.04) | 36.27% ( 0.03) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.05% ( -0.06) | 40.95% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.49% ( -0.05) | 77.51% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0)Other @ 3.86% Total : 66.49% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.22% | 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.28% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
