With less pressure on the shoulders of Exeter, they have the freedom to push hard for the three points. However, Accrington will be eager to bounce back from a tough run of fixtures, and we are backing the visitors to earn a share of the spoils with a battling performance.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 52.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (7.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
